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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Friday, 17 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 22
  4. 34
  5. 36

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 54 of 7,040 under them

← 2021-09-16All recent draws2021-09-18 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 4
    2. 6
    3. 8
    4. 9
    5. 33

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 22 34 3629 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

76times
97times
226times
349times
363times

Every number was expected about that many times after 53 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 9) with the draw of 10 September 2021 — its closest relative in 53 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 546kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$300.2Kto 62k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.95

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$122.7K
  • Match 340%$120.8K
  • Match 219%$56.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.95 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4132≈ 161 by chance$930
  3. Match 35,032≈ 5.3k by chance$24.00
  4. Match 256,741≈ 57k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈546k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,032 winners, 5% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4132$930
Match 35,032$24.00
Match 256,741$1.00
Totals61,905—