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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Thursday, 9 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 29

Jackpot$44,120

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 46 of 7,044 under them

← 2021-09-08All recent draws2021-09-10 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 7
    2. 8
    3. 10
    4. 21
    5. 22

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 15 18 2929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

36times
64times
153times
183times
297times

Every number was expected about that many times after 45 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 29) with the draw of 4 September 2021 — its closest relative in 45 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

71

The numbers add up to 71 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-09

  • Lines in play≈ 515kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$273Kto 59k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 53 winnerschance said 0.89

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$66.1K
  • Match 340%$109.2K
  • Match 220%$53.5K
  • 1 other tier16%$44.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 53≈ 0.89 by chance$14,707
  2. Match 4185≈ 152 by chance$358
  3. Match 35,461≈ 5.0k by chance$20.00
  4. Match 253,501≈ 54k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈515k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,461 winners, 9% more than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 53$14,707
Match 4185$358
Match 35,461$20.00
Match 253,501$1.00
Totals59,150—