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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Friday, 3 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 20
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 39

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 40 of 7,040 under them

← 2021-09-02All recent draws2021-09-04 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 22
    2. 25
    3. 29
    4. 30
    5. 37

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 20 29 30 3929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

33times
204times
294times
304times
397times

Every number was expected about that many times after 39 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 20, 39) with the draw of 28 August 2021 — its closest relative in 39 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-03

  • Lines in play≈ 534kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$306.6Kto 61k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.93

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$125.8K
  • Match 341%$125.4K
  • Match 218%$55.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.93 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4135≈ 158 by chance$932
  3. Match 34,916≈ 5.2k by chance$25.50
  4. Match 255,527≈ 56k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈534k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,916 winners, 6% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4135$932
Match 34,916$25.50
Match 255,527$1.00
Totals60,578—