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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Wednesday, 1 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 14
  4. 17
  5. 18

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 38 of 7,034 under them

← 2021-08-31All recent draws2021-09-02 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 8
    2. 12
    3. 13
    4. 14
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 14 17 1829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd64th
  • low99th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

58times
116times
141time
177times
182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 37 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (17, 18) with the draw of 29 July 2021 — its closest relative in 37 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-01

  • Lines in play≈ 538kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$269Kto 62k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.94

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$107K
  • Match 339%$106K
  • Match 221%$56K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.94 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4155≈ 159 by chance$691
  3. Match 35,731≈ 5.2k by chance$18.50
  4. Match 255,951≈ 56k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈538k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,731 winners, 9% more than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4155$691
Match 35,731$18.50
Match 255,951$1.00
Totals61,837—