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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Sunday, 22 August 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 16
  3. 22
  4. 25
  5. 39

Jackpot$34,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 28 of 7,034 under them

← 2021-08-21All recent draws2021-08-23 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 13
    2. 21
    3. 27
    4. 37
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 16 22 25 3929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

56times
165times
223times
257times
394times

Every number was expected about that many times after 27 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 25, 39) with the draw of 9 August 2021 — its closest relative in 27 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2021): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 371kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$207.6Kto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.64

Where the money went

  • Match 425%$51K
  • Match 340%$84.1K
  • Match 219%$38.6K
  • 1 other tier16%$34K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.64 by chance$34,002
  2. Match 4105≈ 110 by chance$486
  3. Match 33,363≈ 3.6k by chance$25.00
  4. Match 238,550≈ 39k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈371k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,363 winners, 7% fewer than the 3.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$34,002
Match 4105$486
Match 33,363$25.00
Match 238,550$1.00
Totals42,019—