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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Tuesday, 10 August 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 17
  3. 24
  4. 27
  5. 34

Jackpot$43,884

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 16 of 7,032 under them

← 2021-08-09All recent draws2021-08-11 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 10
    2. 11
    3. 21
    4. 31
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 17 24 27 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

91time
172times
242times
270times
344times

Every number was expected about that many times after 15 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (24, 34) with the draw of 30 July 2021 — its closest relative in 15 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-10

  • Lines in play≈ 512kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$270.8Kto 59k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 54 winnerschance said 0.89

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$65.7K
  • Match 340%$108K
  • Match 220%$53.2K
  • 1 other tier16%$43.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 54≈ 0.89 by chance$10,971
  2. Match 4208≈ 151 by chance$316
  3. Match 35,270≈ 5.0k by chance$20.50
  4. Match 253,186≈ 53k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈512k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,270 winners, 6% more than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 54$10,971
Match 4208$316
Match 35,270$20.50
Match 253,186$1.00
Totals58,668—