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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Monday, 2 August 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 29
  5. 30

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 8 of 7,028 under them

← 2021-08-01All recent draws2021-08-03 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 9
    2. 15
    3. 16
    4. 28
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 16 29 3029 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

120times
131time
161time
291time
301time

Every number was expected about that many times after 7 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (30) with the draw of 31 July 2021 — its closest relative in 7 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13, 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 468kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$263.9Kto 53k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.81

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$107.9K
  • Match 341%$107.3K
  • Match 218%$48.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.81 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4123≈ 138 by chance$878
  3. Match 34,381≈ 4.6k by chance$24.50
  4. Match 248,598≈ 49k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈468k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,381 winners, 4% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4123$878
Match 34,381$24.50
Match 248,598$1.00
Totals53,102—