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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Monday, 28 December 2020

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 31
  4. 34
  5. 35

Jackpot$57,290

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,918 of 6,992 under them

← 2020-12-27All recent draws2020-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 31 34 3529 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 502 of each

15537times
16479times
31531times
34517times
35

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-28

  • Lines in play≈ 625kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$351.1Kto 71k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 54 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$85.9K
  • Match 341%$143.0K
  • Match 218%$64.9K
  • 1 other tier16%$57.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 54≈ 1.1 by chance$14,323

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

502times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,917 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 31, 35) with the draw of 2 November 2020 — its closest relative in 3,917 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2020): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4150≈ 184 by chance$573
  • Match 35,837≈ 6.1k by chance$24.50
  • Match 264,938≈ 65k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈625k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,837 winners, 4% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 54$14,323
    Match 4150$573
    Match 35,837$24.50
    Match 264,938$1.00
    Totals70,929—