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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Thursday, 24 December 2020

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 7
  4. 11
  5. 29

Jackpot$66,544

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,914 of 6,990 under them

← 2020-12-23All recent draws2020-12-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 7 11 2929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 502 of each

1490times
2512times
7525times
11489times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 860kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$418.0Kto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$99.7K
  • Match 339%$162.4K
  • Match 221%$89.4K
  • 1 other tier16%$66.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.5 by chance$66,544

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

508times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,913 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 11, 29) with the draw of 17 February 2017 — its closest relative in 3,913 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

50

The numbers add up to 50 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4338≈ 254 by chance$295
  • Match 39,841≈ 8.4k by chance$16.50
  • Match 289,358≈ 89k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈860k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,841 winners, 17% more than the 8.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$66,544
    Match 4338$295
    Match 39,841$16.50
    Match 289,358$1.00
    Totals99,538—