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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Thursday, 22 October 2020

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 34

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,851 of 6,990 under them

← 2020-10-21All recent draws2020-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 29 30 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 494 of each

7509times
11473times
29501times
30462times
34

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 729kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$371.1Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$149.0K
  • Match 339%$146.3K
  • Match 220%$75.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.3 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

504times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,850 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 30, 34) with the draw of 12 September 2014 — its closest relative in 3,850 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2020): 29 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
187≈ 215 by chance
$797
  • Match 36,967≈ 7.1k by chance$21.00
  • Match 275,769≈ 76k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈729k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,967 winners, 2% fewer than the 7.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4187$797
    Match 36,967$21.00
    Match 275,769$1.00
    Totals82,923—