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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Tuesday, 22 September 2020

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 37

Jackpot$60,245

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,821 of 6,992 under them

← 2020-09-21All recent draws2020-09-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 19 28 3729 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 490 of each

15521times
16469times
19527times
28431times
37

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 669kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$368.1Kto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 425%$90.3K
  • Match 340%$148.0K
  • Match 219%$69.6K
  • 1 other tier16%$60.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.2 by chance$60,245

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

487times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,820 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 16, 28) with the draw of 17 February 2020 — its closest relative in 3,820 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2020): 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4179≈ 198 by chance$505
  • Match 36,041≈ 6.5k by chance$24.50
  • Match 269,575≈ 70k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈669k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,041 winners, 7% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$60,245
    Match 4179$505
    Match 36,041$24.50
    Match 269,575$1.00
    Totals75,796—