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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 6 October 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 29
  5. 31

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,469 of 6,988 under them

← 2019-10-05All recent draws2019-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 25 26 29 3129 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 445 of each

5460times
25434times
26420times
29446times
31

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-06

  • Lines in play≈ 664kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$345.6Kto 75k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$138.5K
  • Match 340%$138.1K
  • Match 220%$69.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.2 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

473times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,468 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 25, 29, 31) with the draw of 8 June 2015 — its closest relative in 3,468 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
172≈ 196 by chance
$806
  • Match 36,277≈ 6.5k by chance$22.00
  • Match 268,993≈ 69k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈664k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,277 winners, 3% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4172$806
    Match 36,277$22.00
    Match 268,993$1.00
    Totals75,442—