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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Monday, 23 September 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 9
  4. 23
  5. 26

Jackpot$57,537

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,456 of 6,990 under them

← 2019-09-22All recent draws2019-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 9 23 2629 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 443 of each

4442times
5458times
9457times
23437times
26

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 758kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$366.2Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$86.3K
  • Match 339%$143.6K
  • Match 222%$78.8K
  • 1 other tier16%$57.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$57,537

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

419times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,455 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 23, 26) with the draw of 26 August 2019 — its closest relative in 3,455 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

67

The numbers add up to 67 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4250≈ 224 by chance$345
  • Match 37,978≈ 7.4k by chance$18.00
  • Match 278,826≈ 79k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈758k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,978 winners, 8% more than the 7.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$57,537
    Match 4250$345
    Match 37,978$18.00
    Match 278,826$1.00
    Totals87,055—