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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 15 September 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 34

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,448 of 6,990 under them

← 2019-09-14All recent draws2019-09-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 14 21 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd9th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 442 of each

2458times
10465times
14437times
21435times
34

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 622kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$332.1Kto 71k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$134.2K
  • Match 340%$133.2K
  • Match 219%$64.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.1 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

449times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,447 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 14, 21, 34) with the draw of 16 October 2015 — its closest relative in 3,447 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2019): 2 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
186≈ 184 by chance
$722
  • Match 35,668≈ 6.1k by chance$23.50
  • Match 264,691≈ 65k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈622k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,668 winners, 7% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4186$722
    Match 35,668$23.50
    Match 264,691$1.00
    Totals70,545—