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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Wednesday, 6 March 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 23
  4. 33
  5. 38

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,255 of 6,990 under them

← 2019-03-05All recent draws2019-03-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 23 33 3829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 417 of each

11394times
21404times
23415times
33407times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-03-06

  • Lines in play≈ 783kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$410.4Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$165.3K
  • Match 340%$163.7K
  • Match 220%$81.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.4 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

401times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,254 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (21, 23, 33, 38) with the draw of 23 August 2018 — its closest relative in 3,254 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 March 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
203≈ 231 by chance
$815
  • Match 37,274≈ 7.6k by chance$22.50
  • Match 281,421≈ 81k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈783k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,274 winners, 5% fewer than the 7.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4203$815
    Match 37,274$22.50
    Match 281,421$1.00
    Totals88,898—