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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Saturday, 2 March 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 17
  3. 28
  4. 31
  5. 33

Jackpot$69,949

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,251 of 6,990 under them

← 2019-03-01All recent draws2019-03-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 17 28 31 3329 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 417 of each

8408times
17481times
28375times
31439times
33

Prize breakdown · 2019-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 840kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$436.0Kto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$104.9K
  • Match 340%$173.9K
  • Match 220%$87.3K
  • 1 other tier16%$69.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.5 by chance$69,949

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

406times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,250 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 17, 28, 33) with the draw of 20 April 2016 — its closest relative in 3,250 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2019): 17 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4243≈ 248 by chance$432
  • Match 37,905≈ 8.2k by chance$22.00
  • Match 287,292≈ 87k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈840k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,905 winners, 3% fewer than the 8.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$69,949
    Match 4243$432
    Match 37,905$22.00
    Match 287,292$1.00
    Totals95,441—