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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Friday, 4 January 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 29

Jackpot$76,487

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,194 of 6,988 under them

← 2019-01-03All recent draws2019-01-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 17 21 2929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd99th
  • low64th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 409 of each

7420times
11388times
17472times
21397times
29

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$482.7Kto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 52 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$114.5K
  • Match 339%$186.5K
  • Match 222%$105.3K
  • 1 other tier16%$76.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 52≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

412times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,193 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 21, 29) with the draw of 8 August 2018 — its closest relative in 3,193 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 January 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

85

The numbers add up to 85 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$38,244
  • Match 4587≈ 299 by chance$195
  • Match 312,032≈ 9.9k by chance$15.50
  • Match 2105,267≈ 105k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,032 winners, 22% more than the 9.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 52$38,244
    Match 4587$195
    Match 312,032$15.50
    Match 2105,267$1.00
    Totals117,888—