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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 30 December 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 24
  5. 25

Jackpot$61,584

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,189 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-12-29All recent draws2018-12-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 15 24 2529 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 409 of each

4416times
11386times
15439times
24384times
25

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 781kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$388.8Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 53 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$92.3K
  • Match 340%$153.8K
  • Match 221%$81.2K
  • 1 other tier16%$61.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 53≈ 1.4 by chance$20,528

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

399times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,188 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 11, 15, 24) with the draw of 29 October 2014 — its closest relative in 3,188 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 December 2018): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4219≈ 231 by chance$422
  • Match 37,688≈ 7.6k by chance$20.00
  • Match 281,173≈ 81k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈781k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,688 winners, 1% more than the 7.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 53$20,528
    Match 4219$422
    Match 37,688$20.00
    Match 281,173$1.00
    Totals89,083—