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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Saturday, 1 December 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 22
  3. 26
  4. 32
  5. 33

Jackpot$69,840

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,160 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-11-30All recent draws2018-12-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 22 26 32 3329 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 405 of each

16398times
22414times
26382times
32372times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 757kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$425.8Kto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 425%$104.7K
  • Match 341%$172.5K
  • Match 218%$78.7K
  • 1 other tier16%$69.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$69,840

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

395times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,159 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 22, 26, 32) with the draw of 11 November 2010 — its closest relative in 3,159 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 November 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4202≈ 224 by chance$519
  • Match 37,041≈ 7.4k by chance$24.50
  • Match 278,678≈ 79k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈757k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,041 winners, 5% fewer than the 7.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$69,840
    Match 4202$519
    Match 37,041$24.50
    Match 278,678$1.00
    Totals85,922—