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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Wednesday, 14 November 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 6
  4. 16
  5. 27

Jackpot$64,305

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,143 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-11-13All recent draws2018-11-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 6 16 2729 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 403 of each

1401times
2420times
6456times
16393times
27

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 772kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$400.6Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$96.3K
  • Match 340%$159.7K
  • Match 220%$80.2K
  • 1 other tier16%$64.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$64,305

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

410times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,142 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 2, 6, 16) with the draw of 8 December 2012 — its closest relative in 3,142 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2018): 16 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

52

The numbers add up to 52 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4222≈ 228 by chance$434
  • Match 37,607≈ 7.5k by chance$21.00
  • Match 280,213≈ 80k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈772k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,607 winners, 1% more than the 7.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$64,305
    Match 4222$434
    Match 37,607$21.00
    Match 280,213$1.00
    Totals88,043—