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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Thursday, 25 October 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 30

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,123 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-10-24All recent draws2018-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 15 16 3029 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 400 of each

1399times
8392times
15432times
16389times
30

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-25

  • Lines in play≈ 754kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$395.9Kto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$159.1K
  • Match 340%$158.4K
  • Match 220%$78.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.3 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

362times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 8, 15, 30) with the draw of 27 July 2014 — its closest relative in 3,122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2018): 8 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
251≈ 223 by chance
$634
  • Match 37,725≈ 7.3k by chance$20.50
  • Match 278,396≈ 78k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈754k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,725 winners, 5% more than the 7.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4251$634
    Match 37,725$20.50
    Match 278,396$1.00
    Totals86,372—