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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 23 September 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 7
  4. 20
  5. 23

Jackpot$57,353

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,091 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-09-22All recent draws2018-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 7 20 2329 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 396 of each

4401times
5415times
7411times
20372times
23

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 768kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$364.0Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$85.9K
  • Match 339%$140.9K
  • Match 222%$79.9K
  • 1 other tier16%$57.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$57,353

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

393times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,090 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 7, 20, 23) with the draw of 16 January 2015 — its closest relative in 3,090 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

59

The numbers add up to 59 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4227≈ 227 by chance$379
  • Match 37,825≈ 7.5k by chance$18.00
  • Match 279,860≈ 80k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈768k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,825 winners, 5% more than the 7.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$57,353
    Match 4227$379
    Match 37,825$18.00
    Match 279,860$1.00
    Totals87,913—