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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Monday, 10 September 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 24
  2. 26
  3. 27
  4. 37
  5. 39

Jackpot$60,083

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,078 of 6,990 under them

← 2018-09-09All recent draws2018-09-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed24 26 27 37 3929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd64th
  • low1th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 394 of each

24371times
26367times
27400times
37398times
39

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 669kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$367.3Kto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 425%$90.0K
  • Match 340%$147.7K
  • Match 219%$69.5K
  • 1 other tier16%$60.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.2 by chance$60,083

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

385times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,077 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (24, 26, 27, 39) with the draw of 18 August 2012 — its closest relative in 3,077 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4179≈ 198 by chance$503
  • Match 36,284≈ 6.5k by chance$23.50
  • Match 269,529≈ 70k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈669k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,284 winners, 4% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$60,083
    Match 4179$503
    Match 36,284$23.50
    Match 269,529$1.00
    Totals75,993—