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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Friday, 7 September 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 22
  5. 28

Jackpot$73,459

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,075 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-09-06All recent draws2018-09-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 15 22 2829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd9th
  • low64th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 394 of each

8386times
14393times
15426times
22402times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-07

  • Lines in play≈ 902kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$458.4Kto 103k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$110.2K
  • Match 339%$181.0K
  • Match 220%$93.8K
  • 1 other tier16%$73.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.6 by chance$73,459

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

353times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,074 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 14, 15, 28) with the draw of 30 March 2018 — its closest relative in 3,074 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4255≈ 266 by chance$432
  • Match 39,049≈ 8.8k by chance$20.00
  • Match 293,786≈ 94k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈902k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,049 winners, 3% more than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$73,459
    Match 4255$432
    Match 39,049$20.00
    Match 293,786$1.00
    Totals103,091—