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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Tuesday, 14 August 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 19
  4. 30
  5. 31

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,051 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-08-13All recent draws2018-08-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 19 30 3129 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 391 of each

3376times
4395times
19412times
30356times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 805kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$407.8Kto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$162.2K
  • Match 340%$161.9K
  • Match 221%$83.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.4 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

416times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,050 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 4, 19, 31) with the draw of 5 January 2016 — its closest relative in 3,050 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2018): 4 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 30–31. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
182≈ 238 by chance
$891
  • Match 37,531≈ 7.8k by chance$21.50
  • Match 283,715≈ 84k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈805k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,531 winners, 4% fewer than the 7.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4182$891
    Match 37,531$21.50
    Match 283,715$1.00
    Totals91,428—