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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Friday, 3 August 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 26

Jackpot$74,516

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,040 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-08-02All recent draws2018-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 17 22 23 2629 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 390 of each

4393times
17452times
22393times
23387times
26

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 901kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$462.1Kto 103k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 52 winnerschance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$111.6K
  • Match 339%$182.3K
  • Match 220%$93.6K
  • 1 other tier16%$74.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 52≈ 1.6 by chance$37,258

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

364times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,039 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 17, 22) with the draw of 29 May 2018 — its closest relative in 3,039 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4263≈ 266 by chance$425
  • Match 38,679≈ 8.8k by chance$21.00
  • Match 293,633≈ 94k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈901k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,679 winners, 1% fewer than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 52$37,258
    Match 4263$425
    Match 38,679$21.00
    Match 293,633$1.00
    Totals102,577—