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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Saturday, 7 July 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 29
  3. 32
  4. 38
  5. 39

Jackpot$66,943

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,013 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-07-06All recent draws2018-07-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 29 32 38 3929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 386 of each

16371times
29392times
32348times
38375times
39

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-07

  • Lines in play≈ 725kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$409.8Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$100.4K
  • Match 341%$167.2K
  • Match 218%$75.3K
  • 1 other tier16%$66.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$66,943

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

377times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,012 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 38, 39) with the draw of 18 March 2018 — its closest relative in 3,012 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4203≈ 214 by chance$495
  • Match 37,114≈ 7.1k by chance$23.50
  • Match 275,343≈ 75k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈725k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,114 winners, 1% more than the 7.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$66,943
    Match 4203$495
    Match 37,114$23.50
    Match 275,343$1.00
    Totals82,661—