Wednesday, 17 September 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 7, 10, 21) with the draw of 23 December 2010 — its closest relative in 1,623 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 80 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.