Number 15

In New York Lotto under the 6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2010 rules — 1,668 draws, 6 from 1–59.

192times drawn · chance expected 170 +1.81σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 65% for any number

8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

47longest completed wait · 75% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 192 times in 1,668 draws against 169.6 expected, +1.81σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 26 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 192 times in 1,668 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest51 · chance 45.5
2nd smallest83 · chance 79.6
3rd smallest41 · chance 50.5
4th smallest14 · chance 14.4
5th smallest3 · chance 1.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

53 41 27 13 38 42

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 58 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 59. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-23	4	3rd	1 11 15 17 22 38
2026-09-09	4	3rd	4 13 15 28 54 57
2026-08-26	13	4th	5 10 14 15 30 42
2026-07-11	1	1st	15 22 35 37 51 57
2026-07-08	2	2nd	12 15 26 27 34 43
2026-07-01	9	4th	3 4 10 15 23 51
2026-05-30	3	2nd	8 15 35 38 40 58
2026-05-20	7	2nd	5 15 20 27 46 53
2026-04-25	2	1st	15 16 31 33 36 37
2026-04-18	2	3rd	5 14 15 21 45 49
2026-04-11	3	3rd	12 13 15 27 38 55
2026-04-01	5	2nd	1 15 24 40 42 55
2026-03-14	11	1st	15 30 35 43 46 56
2026-02-04	1	2nd	13 15 34 36 53 59
2026-01-31	19	3rd	6 8 15 21 38 54
2025-11-26	15	2nd	11 15 19 31 43 48
2025-10-04	11	3rd	6 13 15 47 51 59
2025-08-27	14	4th	1 2 5 15 40 55
2025-07-09	3	3rd	6 7 15 16 21 51
2025-06-28	5	2nd	10 15 21 28 35 49
2025-06-11	10	2nd	6 15 28 41 45 58
2025-05-07	3	3rd	1 13 15 30 44 51
2025-04-26	25	3rd	11 12 15 27 38 44
2025-01-29	2	5th	1 3 4 13 15 18

The other 168 appearances

2025-01-22	20	2nd	4 15 28 31 46 47
2024-11-13	1	2nd	11 15 38 44 46 55
2024-11-09	12	3rd	3 9 15 29 48 49
2024-09-28	4	1st	15 27 29 41 42 50
2024-09-14	4	4th	1 5 7 15 31 41
2024-08-31	3	2nd	6 15 26 41 55 56
2024-08-21	15	2nd	8 15 17 20 22 48
2024-06-29	6	1st	15 23 35 42 54 57
2024-06-08	2	4th	7 13 14 15 18 35
2024-06-01	23	1st	15 20 36 41 51 52
2024-03-13	12	3rd	4 11 15 18 39 46
2024-01-31	5	1st	15 16 17 20 25 53
2024-01-13	3	2nd	13 15 20 38 45 46
2024-01-03	12	2nd	12 15 16 34 40 58
2023-11-22	2	2nd	8 15 20 28 38 59
2023-11-15	14	2nd	3 15 19 37 38 51
2023-09-27	9	4th	2 7 13 15 27 42
2023-08-26	2	1st	15 26 29 30 42 51
2023-08-19	14	3rd	3 14 15 41 42 48
2023-07-01	7	1st	15 19 24 36 40 49
2023-06-07	2	2nd	10 15 41 44 49 54
2023-05-31	5	3rd	7 8 15 39 40 58
2023-05-13	10	2nd	10 15 26 31 38 44
2023-04-08	9	2nd	10 15 22 33 36 41
2023-03-08	4	1st	15 30 35 37 38 56
2023-02-22	24	4th	4 7 8 15 30 41
2022-11-30	5	2nd	4 15 32 39 41 57
2022-11-12	1	3rd	11 12 15 19 37 51
2022-11-09	34	3rd	7 13 15 19 27 58
2022-07-13	3	2nd	3 15 18 19 37 56
2022-07-02	15	2nd	8 15 20 27 38 53
2022-05-11	22	1st	15 17 26 29 31 54
2022-02-23	8	2nd	13 15 36 46 53 57
2022-01-26	1	3rd	4 9 15 42 48 58
2022-01-22	5	2nd	12 15 19 24 34 57
2022-01-05	2	2nd	8 15 17 32 36 47
2021-12-29	1	4th	10 13 14 15 27 56
2021-12-25	6	3rd	3 8 15 33 34 37
2021-12-04	7	3rd	6 9 15 16 43 53
2021-11-10	7	2nd	10 15 20 29 31 49
2021-10-16	2	2nd	14 15 17 33 37 49
2021-10-09	47	1st	15 18 25 28 41 47
2021-04-28	3	1st	15 17 20 29 38 42
2021-04-17	2	2nd	14 15 22 30 35 48
2021-04-10	8	1st	15 25 29 54 57 59
2021-03-13	17	2nd	11 15 18 31 42 58
2021-01-13	8	1st	15 24 44 52 54 57
2020-12-16	13	1st	15 22 44 47 49 52
2020-10-31	2	2nd	5 15 19 21 37 57
2020-10-24	1	3rd	9 10 15 24 25 57
2020-10-21	3	1st	15 22 24 30 50 59
2020-10-10	9	3rd	8 11 15 32 47 58
2020-09-09	14	1st	15 24 31 44 51 59
2020-07-22	25	2nd	6 15 51 54 55 59
2020-04-25	10	1st	15 27 29 49 50 56
2020-03-21	1	2nd	6 15 18 34 42 58
2020-03-18	6	3rd	1 14 15 33 38 49
2020-02-26	6	4th	4 9 13 15 53 57
2020-02-05	2	2nd	6 15 32 33 42 49
2020-01-29	2	2nd	9 15 17 37 52 53
2020-01-22	27	2nd	1 15 36 41 44 50
2019-10-19	2	2nd	6 15 21 37 55 59
2019-10-12	24	2nd	13 15 27 30 46 51
2019-07-20	7	2nd	12 15 30 32 51 58
2019-06-26	8	2nd	6 15 25 28 36 49
2019-05-29	1	3rd	6 12 15 24 31 42
2019-05-25	19	1st	15 22 24 42 50 53
2019-03-20	2	5th	4 6 8 12 15 55
2019-03-13	3	2nd	11 15 29 38 52 54
2019-03-02	31	3rd	6 10 15 50 52 56
2018-11-14	3	2nd	5 15 26 39 45 49
2018-11-03	6	1st	15 30 40 42 56 59
2018-10-13	1	2nd	12 15 20 26 39 58
2018-10-10	5	1st	15 24 30 37 44 59
2018-09-22	1	3rd	1 2 15 17 27 56
2018-09-19	4	2nd	8 15 19 49 52 57
2018-09-05	1	1st	15 29 37 38 40 53
2018-09-01	1	3rd	3 14 15 25 34 35
2018-08-29	15	2nd	1 15 19 50 52 53
2018-07-07	2	2nd	2 15 20 53 54 58
2018-06-30	28	2nd	9 15 21 35 49 56
2018-03-24	3	1st	15 22 23 50 51 57
2018-03-14	15	1st	15 40 49 53 56 57
2018-01-20	15	2nd	10 15 24 44 45 55
2017-11-29	6	3rd	5 14 15 16 31 52
2017-11-08	5	2nd	2 15 20 26 43 44
2017-10-21	10	1st	15 41 50 53 55 58
2017-09-16	15	3rd	6 11 15 20 25 27
2017-07-26	2	2nd	7 15 20 25 34 59
2017-07-19	29	1st	15 22 27 34 49 57
2017-04-08	1	2nd	4 15 24 33 37 58
2017-04-05	12	2nd	14 15 21 23 41 50
2017-02-22	3	1st	15 17 21 38 40 42
2017-02-11	28	1st	15 23 28 34 45 53
2016-11-05	10	3rd	5 11 15 23 26 42
2016-10-01	13	4th	1 4 13 15 30 33
2016-08-17	22	1st	15 21 26 39 46 53
2016-06-01	13	3rd	9 13 15 25 38 56
2016-04-16	7	3rd	7 14 15 30 41 50
2016-03-23	3	3rd	4 8 15 29 40 56
2016-03-12	1	4th	6 9 12 15 22 37
2016-03-09	4	1st	15 22 23 30 36 38
2016-02-24	3	3rd	1 12 15 24 35 41
2016-02-13	17	3rd	5 11 15 33 39 40
2015-12-16	31	1st	15 16 23 30 43 54
2015-08-29	9	1st	15 17 25 33 34 37
2015-07-29	8	2nd	2 15 18 20 47 58
2015-07-01	11	2nd	10 15 27 38 39 41
2015-05-23	6	1st	15 16 17 26 49 55
2015-05-02	6	2nd	5 15 24 31 52 59
2015-04-11	13	2nd	11 15 28 31 40 44
2015-02-25	2	1st	15 27 46 52 53 59
2015-02-18	10	2nd	14 15 29 53 55 59
2015-01-14	6	2nd	2 15 16 29 37 53
2014-12-24	4	2nd	8 15 23 50 52 58
2014-12-10	13	1st	15 31 32 46 48 53
2014-10-25	18	2nd	2 15 23 29 30 49
2014-08-23	1	2nd	6 15 22 37 41 45
2014-08-20	8	4th	3 10 11 15 16 54
2014-07-23	7	1st	15 23 29 39 40 51
2014-06-28	4	1st	15 28 49 50 53 56
2014-06-14	6	1st	15 25 33 42 53 57
2014-05-24	22	1st	15 17 26 37 43 57
2014-03-08	24	3rd	2 10 15 31 34 56
2013-12-14	1	2nd	4 15 19 20 21 28
2013-12-11	5	3rd	1 8 15 17 26 56
2013-11-23	11	4th	3 5 9 15 27 29
2013-10-16	10	2nd	7 15 21 33 35 46
2013-09-11	14	3rd	1 12 15 18 41 51
2013-07-24	6	2nd	2 15 17 39 51 52
2013-07-03	13	3rd	11 13 15 26 40 58
2013-05-18	3	5th	2 3 7 14 15 43
2013-05-08	5	1st	15 25 32 33 39 48
2013-04-20	3	2nd	12 15 27 43 49 53
2013-04-10	1	1st	15 18 31 44 51 53
2013-04-06	13	2nd	13 15 36 46 47 53
2013-02-20	10	2nd	7 15 18 24 36 41
2013-01-16	9	2nd	6 15 22 30 42 56
2012-12-15	2	2nd	5 15 33 39 43 52
2012-12-08	11	1st	15 23 24 31 36 41
2012-10-31	6	2nd	12 15 32 44 51 56
2012-10-10	15	3rd	2 6 15 32 50 53
2012-08-18	17	4th	5 6 7 15 26 42
2012-06-20	34	1st	15 24 32 34 43 57
2012-02-22	7	2nd	6 15 31 48 53 57
2012-01-28	3	2nd	4 15 22 41 50 55
2012-01-18	8	3rd	4 9 15 29 39 55
2011-12-21	6	2nd	1 15 38 41 50 52
2011-11-30	7	3rd	10 11 15 17 23 26
2011-11-05	4	3rd	1 13 15 19 20 33
2011-10-22	6	1st	15 18 28 35 52 55
2011-10-01	5	1st	15 16 34 35 44 54
2011-09-14	10	2nd	9 15 19 27 46 54
2011-08-10	12	1st	15 22 33 42 48 53
2011-06-29	15	2nd	13 15 21 24 28 45
2011-05-07	4	2nd	13 15 20 28 36 56
2011-04-23	6	2nd	8 15 19 37 48 59
2011-04-02	5	1st	15 18 19 24 41 59
2011-03-16	1	1st	15 19 22 23 30 54
2011-03-12	2	2nd	13 15 16 26 38 44
2011-03-05	3	1st	15 17 27 37 40 49
2011-02-23	2	2nd	8 15 20 41 43 48
2011-02-16	10	2nd	5 15 18 40 42 47
2011-01-12	10	2nd	1 15 19 32 46 50
2010-12-08	2	2nd	8 15 21 28 53 56
2010-12-01	4	1st	15 24 27 55 56 58
2010-11-17	4	2nd	3 15 27 33 39 46
2010-11-03	—	2nd	2 15 27 28 31 35

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/59 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

New York Lotto · every number