Wednesday, 18 May 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (18, 21, 30, 34) with the draw of 26 October 2017 — its closest relative in 4,094 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 140 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.