Thursday, 29 May 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 29, 31) with the draw of 5 July 2012 — its closest relative in 1,294 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 May 2014): 29 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.