Saturday, 17 November 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 12, 36) with the draw of 14 November 2012 — its closest relative in 816 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 November 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.