Monday, 9 May 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 22, 30) with the draw of 8 October 2010 — its closest relative in 339 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 May 2011): 22 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 107 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.