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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Sep 2025 rules — 250 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 16 times in 250 draws against 16.7 expected, −0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 250 draws · average wait 15.5 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 44 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-08-21 | 14 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-08-07 | 1 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-08-06 | 4 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-08-02 | 6 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-07-27 | 29 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-06-28 | 1 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-06-27 | 21 | 1st | 12 |
| 2026-06-06 | 12 | 1st | 12 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-05-25 | 18 | 1st | 12 |
| 2025-12-23 | 6 | 1st | 12 |
| 2025-12-17 | 6 | 1st | 12 |
| 2025-12-11 | 21 | 1st | 12 |
| 2025-11-20 | 19 | 1st | 12 |
| 2025-11-01 | 30 | 1st | 12 |
| 2025-10-02 | — | 1st | 12 |