In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/16 · since Oct 2024 rules — 731 draws, 1 from 1–16.
55times drawn · chance expected 46 +1.42σ
11draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number
13.1average wait between appearances · chance says 16.0
71longest completed wait · 45% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 55 times in 731 draws against 45.7 expected, +1.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5
Number 5, draw by draw
Drawn 55 times in 731 draws · average wait 13.1 draws · longest completed wait 71 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 15 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 16. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 1/16 tonight whatever it did last week.