Number 15

In Match 5 under the 5/35 · since Apr 2021 rules — 1,497 draws, 5 from 1–35.

203times drawn · chance expected 214 −0.80σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

28longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 203 times in 1,497 draws against 213.9 expected, −0.80σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 203 times in 1,497 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest27 · chance 21.2
2nd smallest73 · chance 69.9
3rd smallest67 · chance 75.7
4th smallest34 · chance 31.9
5th smallest2 · chance 4.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 16 23 29 26 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-08	2	2nd	2 15 16 18 24
2026-10-06	2	3rd	4 13 15 20 21
2026-10-04	7	2nd	2 15 17 23 24
2026-09-27	1	2nd	13 15 16 24

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-27	5	2nd	11 15 26 29 33
2026-04-22	17	4th	4 9 14 15 23
2026-04-05	15	1st	15 19 21 23 27
2026-03-21	10	2nd	4 15 16 25 35
2026-03-11	4	4th	6 9 10 15 20
2026-03-07	13	3rd	8 11 15 23 24
2026-02-22	3	2nd	2 15 21 22 29
2026-02-19	17	3rd	2 7 15 33 34
2026-02-02	1	5th	3 5 12 13 15
2026-02-01	9	1st	15 19 25 28 32
2026-01-23	1	2nd	13 15 18 21 23
2026-01-22	2	2nd	3 15 19 23 30
2026-01-20	11	3rd	4 13 15 16 26
2026-01-09	6	2nd	2 15 21 23 29
2026-01-03	8	4th	1 4 7 15 34
2025-12-26	2	3rd	5 7 15 28 33
2025-12-24	28	3rd	1 9 15 24 25
2025-11-26	1	1st	15 19 20 28 35
2025-11-25	8	2nd	5 15 23 28 33
2025-11-17	13	2nd	4 15 25 28 33
2025-11-04	1	4th	4 7 13 15 31
2025-11-03	2	4th	1 5 10 15 27
2025-11-01	12	2nd	3 15 18 21 32
2025-10-20	6	2nd	7 15 16 23 33
2025-10-14	17	2nd	8 15 30 31 35
2025-09-27	5	2nd	9 15 18 26 29
2025-09-22	1	3rd	7 11 15 29 30
2025-09-21	5	2nd	4 15 25 26 30
2025-09-16	3	4th	5 7 11 15 17
2025-09-13	1	2nd	13 15 21 24 29
2025-09-12	8	1st	15 16 24 27 32
2025-09-04	15	3rd	3 11 15 20 27
2025-08-20	7	3rd	6 12 15 17 33
2025-08-13	1	1st	15 19 21 25 35
2025-08-12	1	3rd	7 14 15 29 32
2025-08-11	13	3rd	5 13 15 16 30
2025-07-29	5	2nd	6 15 19 24 25
2025-07-24	8	1st	15 17 27 29 35
2025-07-16	1	1st	15 20 26 27 35
2025-07-15	22	1st	15 17 23 25 34
2025-06-23	3	3rd	3 9 15 26 28
2025-06-20	3	3rd	11 13 15 29 33
2025-06-17	4	3rd	4 10 15 18 30
2025-06-13	3	4th	2 3 12 15 20
2025-06-10	1	4th	4 8 10 15 21
2025-06-09	1	2nd	13 15 22 25 34
2025-06-08	14	2nd	3 15 17 24 25
2025-05-25	4	2nd	13 15 16 23 28
2025-05-21	6	1st	15 23 25 28 34
2025-05-15	5	4th	1 10 12 15 30
2025-05-10	7	2nd	9 15 16 27 29
2025-05-03	4	3rd	3 11 15 16 22
2025-04-29	18	2nd	6 15 20 34 35
2025-04-11	24	3rd	7 11 15 16 21
2025-03-18	1	3rd	10 13 15 17 19
2025-03-17	11	2nd	13 15 22 25 35
2025-03-06	5	3rd	1 6 15 18 33
2025-03-01	1	2nd	14 15 23 27 29
2025-02-28	1	2nd	7 15 22 24 27
2025-02-27	7	4th	1 3 8 15 21
2025-02-20	2	4th	4 9 10 15 34
2025-02-18	1	2nd	9 15 16 21 26
2025-02-17	1	1st	15 17 23 27 35
2025-02-16	5	4th	4 9 11 15 28
2025-02-11	6	3rd	13 14 15 22 34
2025-02-05	2	2nd	9 15 22 32 34
2025-02-03	12	4th	3 6 8 15 17
2025-01-22	17	1st	15 22 23 33 35
2025-01-05	2	1st	15 16 22 23 30
2025-01-03	5	3rd	6 10 15 16 25
2024-12-29	10	2nd	7 15 23 25 30
2024-12-19	4	2nd	8 15 17 20 32
2024-12-15	7	3rd	5 13 15 19 31
2024-12-08	13	3rd	1 5 15 16 35
2024-11-25	5	4th	2 5 12 15 29
2024-11-20	8	4th	2 5 14 15 17
2024-11-12	5	3rd	13 14 15 25 26
2024-11-07	17	4th	8 10 12 15 28
2024-10-21	6	1st	15 16 23 26 30
2024-10-15	7	3rd	12 14 15 22 23
2024-10-08	6	3rd	6 7 15 20 27
2024-10-02	18	2nd	9 15 16 17 19
2024-09-14	13	3rd	7 11 15 23 35
2024-09-01	12	3rd	3 8 15 20 29
2024-08-20	3	3rd	4 9 15 18 24
2024-08-17	2	5th	3 8 10 11 15
2024-08-15	3	2nd	4 15 26 28 35
2024-08-12	4	1st	15 20 22 25 26
2024-08-08	1	1st	15 16 22 29 30
2024-08-07	5	2nd	2 15 17 26 32
2024-08-02	5	1st	15 26 29 30 33
2024-07-28	2	3rd	7 8 15 30 31
2024-07-26	19	2nd	10 15 21 22 27
2024-07-07	2	1st	15 16 24 28 35
2024-07-05	2	4th	10 11 14 15 22
2024-07-03	1	4th	3 7 12 15 29
2024-07-02	2	3rd	2 12 15 30 33
2024-06-30	1	1st	15 21 29 33 34
2024-06-29	4	3rd	8 14 15 20 29
2024-06-25	3	2nd	3 15 28 32 35
2024-06-22	20	3rd	4 7 15 19 28
2024-06-02	1	2nd	5 15 18 23 29
2024-06-01	10	4th	1 6 7 15 25
2024-05-22	5	3rd	2 5 15 30 32
2024-05-17	1	3rd	4 12 15 25 27
2024-05-16	6	2nd	10 15 29 34 35
2024-05-10	11	3rd	12 14 15 20 25
2024-04-29	2	2nd	11 15 18 26 31
2024-04-27	4	2nd	6 15 17 20 32
2024-04-23	1	4th	6 10 12 15 28
2024-04-22	2	3rd	5 13 15 19 26
2024-04-20	20	2nd	1 15 21 33 34
2024-03-31	23	4th	3 7 14 15 27
2024-03-08	27	2nd	13 15 16 18 33
2024-02-10	12	4th	3 4 7 15 16
2024-01-29	10	2nd	1 15 25 26 32
2024-01-19	19	3rd	3 8 15 27 35
2023-12-31	15	2nd	13 15 23 25 31
2023-12-16	5	3rd	7 11 15 24 28
2023-12-11	3	3rd	8 9 15 24 29
2023-12-08	4	2nd	4 15 20 24 34
2023-12-04	27	2nd	3 15 29 33 35
2023-11-07	6	3rd	1 9 15 28 33
2023-11-01	2	4th	6 7 12 15 34
2023-10-30	5	1st	15 16 19 22 23
2023-10-25	22	2nd	14 15 21 24 26
2023-10-03	2	2nd	7 15 17 24 34
2023-10-01	8	3rd	6 8 15 31 35
2023-09-23	11	4th	1 3 10 15 32
2023-09-12	17	3rd	11 14 15 33 35
2023-08-08	10	2nd	8 15 17 22 26
2023-07-15	9	2nd	2 15 19 25 26
2023-06-24	9	1st	15 24 25 30 34
2023-06-03	1	2nd	4 15 27 31 34
2023-06-01	23	4th	1 11 12 15 21
2023-04-08	11	2nd	11 15 21 32 35
2023-03-14	12	4th	4 6 7 15 22
2023-02-14	9	2nd	11 15 19 34 35
2023-01-24	4	3rd	3 5 15 17 28
2023-01-14	1	4th	1 4 6 15 32
2023-01-12	3	2nd	6 15 17 21 34
2023-01-05	5	3rd	6 11 15 20 29
2022-12-24	1	2nd	12 15 21 29 31
2022-12-22	5	2nd	13 15 16 21 25
2022-12-10	11	3rd	1 12 15 22 30
2022-11-15	1	3rd	6 10 15 33 35
2022-11-12	6	3rd	8 10 15 18 30
2022-10-29	8	3rd	3 5 15 19 25
2022-10-11	3	2nd	9 15 22 25 26
2022-10-04	14	1st	15 19 23 26 35
2022-09-01	2	2nd	1 15 20 24 27
2022-08-27	13	4th	1 5 11 15 24
2022-07-28	1	2nd	14 15 23 25 26
2022-07-26	4	3rd	1 4 15 19 24
2022-07-16	1	1st	15 16 17 23 34
2022-07-14	4	3rd	1 9 15 17 30
2022-07-05	13	2nd	13 15 19 22 24
2022-06-04	5	2nd	1 15 21 29 32
2022-05-24	8	2nd	9 15 16 23 25
2022-05-05	11	3rd	6 8 15 16 33
2022-04-09	2	4th	5 8 12 15 23
2022-04-05	6	2nd	14 15 25 28 30
2022-03-22	11	3rd	4 9 15 22 32
2022-02-24	4	4th	2 8 14 15 18
2022-02-15	2	3rd	2 13 15 19 28
2022-02-10	1	4th	7 9 13 15 31
2022-02-08	1	2nd	2 15 19 25 32
2022-02-05	5	4th	3 5 6 15 29
2022-01-25	19	2nd	1 15 16 18 23
2021-12-11	5	2nd	9 15 19 25 29
2021-11-30	12	4th	3 4 14 15 34
2021-11-02	18	3rd	5 14 15 26 29
2021-09-21	3	2nd	10 15 16 19 33
2021-09-14	10	3rd	6 12 15 16 18
2021-08-21	7	3rd	1 6 15 24 33
2021-08-05	4	2nd	3 15 17 25 28
2021-07-27	3	3rd	3 4 15 25 26
2021-07-20	28	3rd	5 7 15 18 26
2021-05-13	—	1st	15 18 25 27 28