Cash Pop Evening · every number
15
Number 15 In Cash Pop Evening under the 1/15 · since Nov 2022 rules — 1,305 draws, 1 from 1–15.
78 times drawn · chance expected 87 −1.00σ
6 draws waiting · a wait this long: 71% for any number
16.8 average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
140 longest completed wait · 0.5% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 78 times in 1,305 draws against 87.0 expected, −1.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 78 times in 1,305 draws · average wait 16.8 draws · longest completed wait 140 · waiting 6 draws now
1 draws: 2022-11-26 to 2022-11-27 25 draws: 2022-11-27 to 2022-12-22 17 draws: 2022-12-22 to 2023-01-08 11 draws: 2023-01-08 to 2023-01-19 10 draws: 2023-01-19 to 2023-01-29 28 draws: 2023-01-29 to 2023-02-26 51 draws: 2023-02-26 to 2023-04-18 15 draws: 2023-04-18 to 2023-05-03 2 draws: 2023-05-03 to 2023-05-05 4 draws: 2023-05-05 to 2023-05-09 5 draws: 2023-05-09 to 2023-05-14 7 draws: 2023-05-14 to 2023-05-21 3 draws: 2023-05-21 to 2023-05-24 31 draws: 2023-05-24 to 2023-06-24 2 draws: 2023-06-24 to 2023-06-26 59 draws: 2023-06-26 to 2023-08-24 17 draws: 2023-08-24 to 2023-09-10 14 draws: 2023-09-10 to 2023-09-24 25 draws: 2023-09-24 to 2023-10-19 24 draws: 2023-10-19 to 2023-11-12 9 draws: 2023-11-12 to 2023-11-21 37 draws: 2023-11-21 to 2023-12-28 60 draws: 2023-12-28 to 2024-02-26 7 draws: 2024-02-26 to 2024-03-04 14 draws: 2024-03-04 to 2024-03-18 45 draws: 2024-03-18 to 2024-05-02 27 draws: 2024-05-02 to 2024-05-29 20 draws: 2024-05-29 to 2024-06-18 46 draws: 2024-06-18 to 2024-08-03 3 draws: 2024-08-03 to 2024-08-06 7 draws: 2024-08-06 to 2024-08-13 3 draws: 2024-08-13 to 2024-08-16 13 draws: 2024-08-16 to 2024-08-29 140 draws: 2024-08-29 to 2025-05-11 1 draws: 2025-05-11 to 2025-05-12 1 draws: 2025-05-12 to 2025-05-13 3 draws: 2025-05-13 to 2025-05-16 6 draws: 2025-05-16 to 2025-05-22 3 draws: 2025-05-22 to 2025-05-25 11 draws: 2025-05-25 to 2025-06-05 23 draws: 2025-06-05 to 2025-06-28 32 draws: 2025-06-28 to 2025-07-30 31 draws: 2025-07-30 to 2025-08-30 15 draws: 2025-08-30 to 2025-09-14 12 draws: 2025-09-14 to 2025-09-26 1 draws: 2025-09-26 to 2025-09-27 23 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-10-20 3 draws: 2025-10-20 to 2025-10-23 17 draws: 2025-10-23 to 2025-11-09 3 draws: 2025-11-09 to 2025-11-12 6 draws: 2025-11-12 to 2025-11-18 7 draws: 2025-11-18 to 2025-11-25 7 draws: 2025-11-25 to 2025-12-02 11 draws: 2025-12-02 to 2025-12-13 7 draws: 2025-12-13 to 2025-12-20 12 draws: 2025-12-20 to 2026-01-01 13 draws: 2026-01-01 to 2026-01-14 4 draws: 2026-01-14 to 2026-01-18 4 draws: 2026-01-18 to 2026-01-22 5 draws: 2026-01-22 to 2026-01-27 25 draws: 2026-01-27 to 2026-02-21 53 draws: 2026-02-21 to 2026-04-15 6 draws: 2026-04-15 to 2026-04-21 15 draws: 2026-04-21 to 2026-05-06 6 draws: 2026-05-06 to 2026-05-12 6 draws: 2026-05-12 to 2026-05-18 20 draws: 2026-05-18 to 2026-06-07 4 draws: 2026-06-07 to 2026-06-11 16 draws: 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-27 20 draws: 2026-06-27 to 2026-07-18 23 draws: 2026-07-18 to 2026-08-11 8 draws: 2026-08-11 to 2026-08-19 17 draws: 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-05 8 draws: 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-13 6 draws: 2026-09-13 to 2026-09-19 9 draws: 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-28 7 draws: 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-05 Still waiting — at least 6 draws since 2026-10-05 2022-11-26 2022-11-27 2022-12-22 2023-01-08 2023-01-19 2023-01-29 2023-02-26 2023-04-18 2023-05-03 2023-05-05 2023-05-09 2023-05-14 2023-05-21 2023-05-24 2023-06-24 2023-06-26 2023-08-24 2023-09-10 2023-09-24 2023-10-19 2023-11-12 2023-11-21 2023-12-28 2024-02-26 2024-03-04 2024-03-18 2024-05-02 2024-05-29 2024-06-18 2024-08-03 2024-08-06 2024-08-13 2024-08-16 2024-08-29 2025-05-11 2025-05-12 2025-05-13 2025-05-16 2025-05-22 2025-05-25 2025-06-05 2025-06-28 2025-07-30 2025-08-30 2025-09-14 2025-09-26 2025-09-27 2025-10-20 2025-10-23 2025-11-09 2025-11-12 2025-11-18 2025-11-25 2025-12-02 2025-12-13 2025-12-20 2026-01-01 2026-01-14 2026-01-18 2026-01-22 2026-01-27 2026-02-21 2026-04-15 2026-04-21 2026-05-06 2026-05-12 2026-05-18 2026-06-07 2026-06-11 2026-06-27 2026-07-18 2026-08-11 2026-08-19 2026-09-05 2026-09-13 2026-09-19 2026-09-28 2026-10-05 2022-11-20 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 4 times 2 draws: 2 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 2 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 4 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 3 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 3 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 2 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 1 time 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 1 time 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 1 time 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 1 time 60 draws: 1 time 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 0 times 65 draws: 0 times 66 draws: 0 times 67 draws: 0 times 68 draws: 0 times 69 draws: 0 times 70 draws: 0 times 71 draws: 0 times 72 draws: 0 times 73 draws: 0 times 74 draws: 0 times 75 draws: 0 times 76 draws: 0 times 77 draws: 0 times 78 draws: 0 times 79 draws: 0 times 80 draws: 0 times 81 draws: 0 times 82 draws: 0 times 83 draws: 0 times 84 draws: 0 times 85 draws: 0 times 86 draws: 0 times 87 draws: 0 times 88 draws: 0 times 89 draws: 0 times 90 draws: 0 times 91 draws: 0 times 92 draws: 0 times 93 draws: 0 times 94 draws: 0 times 95 draws: 0 times 96 draws: 0 times 97 draws: 0 times 98 draws: 0 times 99 draws: 0 times 100 draws: 0 times 101 draws: 0 times 102 draws: 0 times 103 draws: 0 times 104 draws: 0 times 105 draws: 0 times 106 draws: 0 times 107 draws: 0 times 108 draws: 0 times 109 draws: 0 times 110 draws: 0 times 111 draws: 0 times 112 draws: 0 times 113 draws: 0 times 114 draws: 0 times 115 draws: 0 times 116 draws: 0 times 117 draws: 0 times 118 draws: 0 times 119 draws: 0 times 120 draws: 0 times 121 draws: 0 times 122 draws: 0 times 123 draws: 0 times 124 draws: 0 times 125 draws: 0 times 126 draws: 0 times 127 draws: 0 times 128 draws: 0 times 129 draws: 0 times 130 draws: 0 times 131 draws: 0 times 132 draws: 0 times 133 draws: 0 times 134 draws: 0 times 135 draws: 0 times 136 draws: 0 times 137 draws: 0 times 138 draws: 0 times 139 draws: 0 times 140 draws: 1 time 141 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 78 · chance 78.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 14 Every number Highest in the pool What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.