Number 15

In Gopher 5 under the 5/47 · since Apr 2010 rules — 2,587 draws, 5 from 1–47.

262times drawn · chance expected 275 −0.84σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 89% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 9.4

56longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 262 times in 2,587 draws against 275.2 expected, −0.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 262 times in 2,587 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 56 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest56 · chance 57.7
2nd smallest111 · chance 111.5
3rd smallest70 · chance 72.5
4th smallest24 · chance 18.7
5th smallest1 · chance 1.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

45 21 29 4 14 46

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	7	1st	15 18 21 23 37
2026-09-21	2	2nd	14 15 21 23 44
2026-09-16	5	2nd	9 15 21 26 29
2026-09-04	5	3rd	1 8 15 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-02	9	2nd	14 15 21 44 45
2025-03-12	18	4th	10 11 14 15 20
2025-01-29	6	2nd	8 15 20 28 33
2025-01-15	6	1st	15 17 27 29 39
2025-01-01	1	2nd	12 15 39 45 46
2024-12-30	3	2nd	9 15 16 34 45
2024-12-23	13	1st	15 21 22 35 43
2024-11-22	1	2nd	2 15 18 24 41
2024-11-20	3	2nd	13 15 31 32 45
2024-11-13	15	3rd	10 14 15 22 23
2024-10-09	3	3rd	2 13 15 20 36
2024-10-02	7	2nd	9 15 23 24 29
2024-09-16	16	2nd	10 15 19 34 46
2024-08-09	16	3rd	3 12 15 24 26
2024-07-03	9	2nd	14 15 21 38 42
2024-06-12	13	1st	15 17 20 21 36
2024-05-13	8	3rd	1 7 15 38 41
2024-04-24	2	4th	2 7 14 15 17
2024-04-19	8	3rd	4 12 15 28 31
2024-04-01	11	3rd	12 14 15 18 43
2024-03-06	14	2nd	8 15 28 31 33
2024-02-02	15	3rd	1 2 15 17 36
2023-12-29	3	2nd	7 15 24 26 38
2023-12-22	5	3rd	3 4 15 29 32
2023-12-11	4	2nd	11 15 17 27 33
2023-12-01	21	1st	15 23 39 41 46
2023-10-13	2	1st	15 16 17 21 30
2023-10-09	2	4th	8 9 12 15 41
2023-10-04	3	3rd	5 14 15 22 27
2023-09-27	2	1st	15 21 33 34 41
2023-09-22	8	3rd	4 14 15 21 27
2023-09-04	21	1st	15 16 25 37 46
2023-07-17	3	3rd	5 12 15 38 41
2023-07-10	56	3rd	1 12 15 24 36
2023-03-01	10	2nd	8 15 19 27 45
2023-02-06	16	1st	15 20 28 32 33
2022-12-30	13	4th	5 6 8 15 43
2022-11-30	6	2nd	3 15 26 30 40
2022-11-16	4	2nd	2 15 26 43 45
2022-11-07	12	2nd	2 15 20 27 43
2022-10-12	1	2nd	7 15 37 38 46
2022-10-10	2	2nd	12 15 22 23 35
2022-10-05	14	3rd	5 10 15 27 31
2022-09-02	12	2nd	14 15 29 37 43
2022-08-05	4	3rd	6 9 15 27 45
2022-07-27	13	3rd	5 7 15 24 29
2022-06-27	18	3rd	4 8 15 18 40
2022-05-16	2	2nd	13 15 19 23 26
2022-05-11	6	2nd	2 15 20 35 40
2022-04-27	1	2nd	5 15 17 21 23
2022-04-25	2	2nd	6 15 19 30 44
2022-04-20	16	2nd	4 15 21 40 44
2022-03-14	26	4th	11 13 14 15 32
2022-01-12	11	2nd	6 15 32 38 39
2021-12-17	1	4th	8 12 14 15 25
2021-12-15	13	1st	15 19 20 26 43
2021-11-15	15	2nd	1 15 34 35 43
2021-10-11	14	2nd	6 15 19 35 45
2021-09-08	27	2nd	1 15 26 38 45
2021-07-07	34	4th	8 9 14 15 17
2021-04-19	12	1st	15 19 24 43 46
2021-03-22	6	4th	4 11 13 15 36
2021-03-08	2	3rd	8 9 15 16 18
2021-03-03	8	4th	2 12 14 15 24
2021-02-12	22	1st	15 17 21 35 37
2020-12-23	8	3rd	4 11 15 35 45
2020-12-04	5	1st	15 28 31 38 45
2020-11-23	31	2nd	1 15 28 33 43
2020-09-11	9	3rd	2 5 15 26 43
2020-08-21	11	3rd	3 4 15 20 28
2020-07-27	8	2nd	13 15 33 45 46
2020-07-08	21	3rd	2 3 15 21 31
2020-05-20	3	3rd	4 10 15 18 24
2020-05-13	10	4th	3 5 12 15 38
2020-04-20	9	1st	15 29 38 42 46
2020-03-30	2	2nd	8 15 19 42 47
2020-03-25	2	3rd	1 7 15 27 33
2020-03-20	1	2nd	1 15 20 29 31
2020-03-18	5	2nd	3 15 20 22 37
2020-03-06	5	2nd	8 15 22 24 41
2020-02-24	15	4th	3 4 6 15 22
2020-01-20	2	2nd	1 15 23 29 36
2020-01-15	11	2nd	9 15 26 35 43
2019-12-20	46	2nd	12 15 24 26 34
2019-09-04	9	3rd	3 4 15 30 46
2019-08-14	8	2nd	4 15 21 29 41
2019-07-26	4	3rd	7 14 15 21 26
2019-07-17	4	3rd	9 13 15 25 35
2019-07-08	8	1st	15 16 31 33 40
2019-06-19	6	1st	15 26 30 32 43
2019-06-05	5	3rd	2 6 15 17 29
2019-05-24	2	1st	15 19 24 31 34
2019-05-20	17	2nd	13 15 19 29 41
2019-04-10	44	3rd	8 13 15 16 26
2018-12-28	5	3rd	11 12 15 18 47
2018-12-17	34	3rd	3 12 15 18 35
2018-09-28	22	1st	15 18 35 39 41
2018-08-08	11	1st	15 22 23 27 31
2018-07-13	4	1st	15 22 24 32 46
2018-07-04	3	2nd	8 15 25 33 46
2018-06-27	3	2nd	12 15 20 27 40
2018-06-20	7	3rd	11 12 15 16 45
2018-06-04	12	1st	15 18 31 33 39
2018-05-07	3	1st	15 24 30 39 40
2018-04-30	5	1st	15 25 29 30 46
2018-04-18	14	1st	15 24 25 45 46
2018-03-16	2	4th	4 6 10 15 23
2018-03-12	10	3rd	3 10 15 24 33
2018-02-16	54	2nd	1 15 16 44 47
2017-10-13	3	1st	15 20 31 36 44
2017-10-06	9	3rd	9 12 15 31 38
2017-09-15	12	3rd	12 14 15 29 31
2017-08-18	4	4th	8 9 14 15 44
2017-08-09	9	3rd	1 14 15 21 45
2017-07-19	22	2nd	3 15 30 42 45
2017-05-29	19	1st	15 20 23 24 43
2017-04-14	5	1st	15 24 36 46 47
2017-04-03	2	4th	6 7 13 15 29
2017-03-29	3	1st	15 21 33 40 44
2017-03-22	13	2nd	6 15 16 31 47
2017-02-20	4	2nd	11 15 24 26 29
2017-02-10	1	1st	15 18 19 27 44
2017-02-08	5	2nd	7 15 26 29 46
2017-01-27	24	4th	1 10 13 15 24
2016-12-02	5	3rd	1 3 15 22 35
2016-11-21	5	4th	5 12 14 15 40
2016-11-09	2	2nd	2 15 20 33 42
2016-11-04	6	2nd	3 15 16 31 40
2016-10-21	7	2nd	12 15 22 26 47
2016-10-05	14	2nd	5 15 33 34 46
2016-09-02	18	2nd	5 15 19 21 46
2016-07-22	3	3rd	1 4 15 17 44
2016-07-15	6	3rd	3 6 15 40 44
2016-07-01	9	2nd	11 15 21 41 45
2016-06-10	1	4th	2 8 10 15 33
2016-06-08	9	3rd	1 6 15 27 44
2016-05-18	6	1st	15 22 39 43 45
2016-05-04	3	2nd	3 15 20 28 47
2016-04-27	6	2nd	3 15 22 37 39
2016-04-13	10	4th	4 7 10 15 25
2016-03-21	2	1st	15 18 29 30 31
2016-03-16	4	1st	15 28 35 43 45
2016-03-07	16	1st	15 22 23 37 44
2016-01-29	2	3rd	4 9 15 27 36
2016-01-25	2	3rd	6 12 15 18 23
2016-01-20	1	3rd	3 14 15 24 44
2016-01-18	6	1st	15 21 22 25 47
2016-01-04	9	3rd	10 14 15 34 46
2015-12-14	7	1st	15 21 28 30 32
2015-11-27	11	1st	15 21 24 31 34
2015-11-02	12	4th	2 5 12 15 21
2015-10-05	16	1st	15 19 21 23 32
2015-08-28	7	1st	15 16 25 38 46
2015-08-12	1	2nd	4 15 23 34 45
2015-08-10	10	1st	15 17 37 41 42
2015-07-17	5	2nd	9 15 18 30 42
2015-07-06	5	2nd	9 15 19 44 45
2015-06-24	14	2nd	3 15 25 34 38
2015-05-22	19	1st	15 17 32 41 47
2015-04-08	1	2nd	4 15 35 42 47
2015-04-06	1	2nd	2 15 19 31 41
2015-04-03	11	3rd	7 10 15 33 37
2015-03-09	2	1st	15 34 36 38 42
2015-03-04	7	1st	15 23 25 29 34
2015-02-16	9	2nd	3 15 21 25 47
2015-01-26	10	2nd	4 15 20 32 47
2015-01-02	12	2nd	8 15 23 31 35
2014-12-05	3	2nd	12 15 28 33 46
2014-11-28	1	2nd	8 15 21 34 47
2014-11-26	10	2nd	7 15 23 25 26
2014-11-03	16	4th	1 3 6 15 29
2014-09-26	2	3rd	4 14 15 34 41
2014-09-22	3	2nd	7 15 17 28 47
2014-09-15	9	2nd	5 15 26 32 37
2014-08-25	17	3rd	4 14 15 22 29
2014-07-16	24	2nd	11 15 34 35 38
2014-05-21	17	2nd	13 15 19 36 37
2014-04-11	8	1st	15 16 17 37 47
2014-03-24	10	3rd	7 8 15 16 38
2014-02-28	13	1st	15 16 24 36 39
2014-01-29	2	2nd	10 15 25 45 46
2014-01-24	47	2nd	9 15 18 25 28
2013-10-07	14	2nd	9 15 36 40 45
2013-09-04	19	2nd	5 15 35 36 42
2013-07-22	17	2nd	14 15 24 26 27
2013-06-12	8	3rd	5 13 15 23 35
2013-05-24	8	3rd	3 10 15 43 46
2013-05-06	11	2nd	2 15 27 31 47
2013-04-10	4	2nd	6 15 17 20 34
2013-04-01	2	3rd	8 13 15 37 45
2013-03-27	33	2nd	2 15 16 35 39
2013-01-09	6	3rd	1 11 15 24 37
2012-12-26	2	2nd	2 15 30 36 44
2012-12-21	23	1st	15 18 29 40 46
2012-10-29	19	2nd	9 15 27 28 33
2012-09-14	32	1st	15 16 17 27 47
2012-07-02	3	1st	15 20 22 31 35
2012-06-25	16	2nd	13 15 18 23 34
2012-05-18	30	4th	5 6 12 15 21
2012-03-09	3	2nd	8 15 23 27 36
2012-03-02	18	4th	3 4 8 15 25
2012-01-20	1	2nd	9 15 16 29 34
2012-01-18	1	3rd	3 10 15 23 29
2012-01-16	4	2nd	10 15 29 41 46
2012-01-06	1	2nd	8 15 31 43 45
2012-01-04	1	3rd	11 14 15 25 30
2012-01-02	7	2nd	14 15 16 33 42
2011-12-16	34	2nd	11 15 17 28 31
2011-09-28	3	5th	1 4 11 12 15
2011-09-21	4	1st	15 27 29 36 40
2011-09-12	14	3rd	7 12 15 20 21
2011-08-10	2	2nd	9 15 20 33 46
2011-08-05	15	1st	15 21 25 30 46
2011-07-01	3	3rd	7 11 15 27 29
2011-06-24	7	2nd	14 15 41 45 46
2011-06-08	19	3rd	7 8 15 17 33
2011-04-25	8	2nd	4 15 16 18 38
2011-04-06	11	3rd	6 13 15 19 38
2011-03-11	13	2nd	4 15 22 36 44
2011-02-09	13	3rd	7 9 15 22 46
2011-01-10	4	2nd	12 15 27 36 43
2010-12-31	14	2nd	7 15 16 26 42
2010-11-29	6	1st	15 16 18 41 45
2010-11-15	2	2nd	14 15 17 22 39
2010-11-10	10	2nd	9 15 36 37 43
2010-10-18	1	1st	15 23 26 32 45
2010-10-15	4	3rd	4 7 15 20 36
2010-10-06	6	2nd	6 15 22 30 47
2010-09-22	11	2nd	7 15 25 37 42
2010-08-27	18	4th	2 11 14 15 44
2010-07-16	6	3rd	2 8 15 32 39
2010-07-02	12	1st	15 17 18 23 42
2010-06-04	7	2nd	13 15 24 33 35
2010-05-19	4	2nd	9 15 19 23 45
2010-05-10	7	2nd	3 15 17 19 36
2010-04-23	2	2nd	11 15 23 27 40
2010-04-19	1	3rd	1 13 15 29 47
2010-04-16	—	3rd	6 10 15 38 44