In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2023 rules — 525 draws, 1 from 0–6.
71times drawn · chance expected 75 −0.50σ
18draws waiting · a wait this long: 7% for any number
7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
31longest completed wait · 50% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 71 times in 525 draws against 75.0 expected, −0.50σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 71 times in 525 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 18 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 6 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 3rd most popular of 7. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/7 tonight whatever it did last week.
Megabucks Plus number 1 (star deck) — how often, how long a wait, and with whom — LotteryOracle