Wednesday, 28 December 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 16, 18) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 July 2022 — its closest relative in 70 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 December 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 0 repeated (100% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 75 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.