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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Cash Pop Early Bird · every number
In Cash Pop Early Bird under the 1/15 · since Sep 2025 rules — 251 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 14 times in 251 draws against 16.7 expected, −0.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 22 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 251 draws · average wait 17.2 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 22 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 29 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-24 | 3 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-21 | 35 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-07-17 | 9 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-07-08 | 8 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-06-30 | 45 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-12-31 | 12 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-12-17 | 33 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-11-14 | 12 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-11-02 | 17 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-10-16 | 1 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-10-15 | 18 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-09-27 | — | 1st | 15 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.