Monday, 30 August 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 15, 18, 25) with the draw of 6 May 2021 — its closest relative in 1,189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2021): 29 carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 91 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. No two numbers side by side. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.