Monday, 1 November 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 7, 21) with the draw of 23 September 2010 — its closest relative in 60 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 October 2010): 7, 31 carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 145 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.