Thursday, 22 July 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (15, 32) with the draw of 19 July 2010 — its closest relative in 31 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 July 2010): 15, 32 carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 101 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. No two numbers side by side. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.