In Cash Pop 9am under the 1/15 · since Aug 2024 rules — 425 draws, 1 from 1–15.
29times drawn · chance expected 28 +0.13σ
33draws waiting · a wait this long: 11% for any number
12.9average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
52longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 29 times in 425 draws against 28.3 expected, +0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 33 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 29 times in 425 draws · average wait 12.9 draws · longest completed wait 52 · waiting 33 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.