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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Cash Pop 9am under the 1/15 · since Aug 2024 rules — 426 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 23 times in 426 draws against 28.4 expected, −1.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 23 times in 426 draws · average wait 18.0 draws · longest completed wait 54 · waiting 20 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | 33 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-08-21 | 8 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-08-13 | 9 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-31 | 19 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-12 | 20 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-06-22 | 54 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-04-29 | 28 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-12-12 | 7 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-12-05 | 28 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-11-07 | 17 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-10-21 | 5 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-10-16 | 5 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-10-11 | 15 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-09-26 | 53 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-12-07 | 3 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-12-04 | 10 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-11-24 | 23 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-11-01 | 10 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-10-22 | 3 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-10-19 | 5 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-10-14 | 38 | 1st | 11 |
| 2024-09-06 | — | 1st | 11 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.