Wednesday, 16 January 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 13, 16, 37) with the draw of 29 June 2013 — its closest relative in 914 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 January 2019): 5 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.