Wednesday, 28 August 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 11, 15) with the draw of 15 June 2013 — its closest relative in 353 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 August 2013): 15, 22 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 120 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.