Wednesday, 23 October 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 27, 39) with the draw of 21 August 2013 — its closest relative in 397 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2013): 45 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 181 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 62% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.