In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Apr 2023 rules — 869 draws, 1 from 1–15.
58times drawn · chance expected 58 +0.01σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number
14.9average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
53longest completed wait · 80% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 58 times in 869 draws against 57.9 expected, +0.01σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
11
Number 11, draw by draw
Drawn 58 times in 869 draws · average wait 14.9 draws · longest completed wait 53 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.